Understanding fertility trends in a cohesive high-fertility population within a low-fertility environment

Summary

This research project aims to understand the factors contributing to high fertility rates within Amish populations in low-fertility Western environments and to explain the significant variation in birth rates observed among different Amish communities.

What they want

The project involves developing a large, population-wide, time-sensitive longitudinal dataset by integrating Amish-produced population record books with public contextual data, covering vital events, sociocultural information, and geocodable addresses. This database will be used to validate population growth explanations and to test competing fertility theories by analyzing the relative influence of internal Amish differences versus external structural-cultural forces on birth variation. The project also includes a research and training program focused on time-sensitive statistical analysis, fertility theory, and relational database design and management.

Deliverables

A large population-wide, time-sensitive longitudinal dataset of Amish demographic information
Validation of population growth explanations using the developed dataset
Analysis of the relative influence of Amish-internal versus external structural-cultural forces on fertility differences
Achieve researcher independence in managing, developing, and analyzing the population database

Technical requirements

Development of a large population-wide, time-sensitive dataset
Linking geographically referenced data to publicly available contextual data
Incorporation of information from Amish-produced population record books and directory sets
Application of conventional and recent advancements in time-sensitive statistical analysis
Application of fertility theory
Relational database design and management

Key personnel

Researcher (Principal Investigator)

Market context

inferred from NAICS

Professional, Scientific & Technical Services

NAICS 541720

US market size: $2.0T
Typical award: $25K – $50M

Typical buyers

All federal civilianDoDStates

Commonly required

8(a)WOSBSDVOSBPE/PMP

Sector-level estimate — full code lookup not yet in catalog.